Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 01 Jul at 12:26 AM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

A. De Minaur vs R. Carballes Baena

Alex De Minaur
Alex De Minaur

Flag AUS AUS

w
l
w
w
w
l
w
w
w
l
Roberto Carballes Baena
Roberto Carballes Baena

Flag ESP ESP

l
w
w
w
l
w
l
w
l
l

4

Win

4

Played

0

Win

26
Age
32
6'0" (183 cm)
Height
6'0" (183 cm)
7
C. Rank
129
6
Best Rank
49
10
Total Titles
2
1
YTD Titles
0
$13.8M
Career Money
$3.2M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Minaur 4 - 0 Baena

They have played 10 sets in total, with Alex De Minaur winning 9 and Roberto Carballes Baena winning 1. The last match between Alex De Minaur and Roberto Carballes Baena was at the Wimbledon - London, 01-07-2025, Round: R1, Surface: Grass, with Alex De Minaur getting the victory 6-2 6-2 7-6(2).

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Minaur4
Baena0
Last 4 H2H Matches:

(R1Wimbledon - London(07-01-25)

Grass
AUS Flag
Alex De Minaur
6
6
7
ESP Flag
Roberto Carballes Baena
2
2
6

(R2European Open - Antwerp(10-16-24)

I.hard
AUS Flag
Alex De Minaur
2
6
6
ESP Flag
Roberto Carballes Baena
6
4
2

(R2Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome(05-11-24)

Clay
AUS Flag
Alex De Minaur
6
6
ESP Flag
Roberto Carballes Baena
3
2

A. D. Minaur vs R. C. Baena H2H Profile

Stats
$13,814,330Career Prize Money$3,200,505
64.71% (418-228)Career Total W/L58.29% (594-425)
2Clay0
1Grass0
1Indoor0
12Titles24
4Total H2H Matches0
72.60% (53-20)YTD Win/Loss40.00% (12-18)
1YTD Titles0

A. D. Minaur vs R. C. Baena Match Preview:

  • Second Serve Performance: Baena has managed to win 41.6% of points on his second serve in the past six months, slightly trailing Minaur who has achieved 44.22%. Does this give Minaur an edge? Yes, as second serve strength is key in tough matches.
  • Return Game Stats: In recent matches, Baena has won 47.62% of second serve return points compared to Minaur's 40.37%. For first serve returns, Baena holds an advantage with 29.46% over Minaur's 25.16%. Such stats favor Baena in games focused on strong returns.
  • Under Pressure Analysis: Baena is more resilient under pressure, saving 57.44% of breakpoints, compared to Minaur's 48.82%, indicating a psychological edge in critical moments.
  • Overall Performance: Over the last year, Minaur has a higher win rate with 66.13% victories compared to Baena's 53.57%. This suggests Minaur is in better form overall.
  • Best Surface: Baena performs best on clay with a 62% win rate, while Minaur excels on grass, winning 68% of matches. Given the surface, each player's historical performance could be decisive.
  • Player Level Competitions: Both players have competed on the Main tour, yet Minaur has a higher success rate, winning 66.67% of the matches, showcasing his aptitude against tougher competition.
  • Head-to-Head Matches: Minaur leads their direct encounters 3-0, winning 6 out of 7 sets, indicating a clear historical advantage over Baena.
  • Deciding Set Performance: If the match extends to a deciding set, Baena has the upper hand, winning 52% in the past year compared to Minaur's 43%.
  • Opponent Quality Stats: Minaur has faced higher-ranked opponents (average rank 55.69), compared to Baena's average opponent rank of 133.66. This suggests Minaur is more experienced with high-caliber players.
  • Break Point Conversion: Baena converts break points at a 35.94% rate, slightly better than Minaur's 32.28%, indicating Baena's slight edge when opportunities arise to break serve.

Editorial Prediction (July 1, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Baena and Minaur promises an intriguing battle. With Minaur showing a slightly stronger second serve performance, he could hold a service advantage. However, Baena's superior return capabilities might balance this out, especially if the encounter focuses on break opportunities.

Minaur's higher match win percentage and experience against higher-ranked players virtually paint him as the stronger contender. Still, the analysis reveals Baena has a knack for handling high-pressure situations better than Minaur. This could play a pivotal role, especially if the match heads into a deciding set, given Baena's slightly better recent deciding set record.

Their head-to-head stats clearly favor Minaur, who not only has never lost to Baena but has also convincingly dominated their previous encounters. While Baena has certain statistical advantages, the combination of Minaur’s past success, overall better form, and experience against superior competition suggests that Alex De Minaur is most likely to emerge victorious in this upcoming match.

Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. D. Minaur vs R. C. Baena H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
4H2H Matches Won0
9Sets Won1
57Games Won33
13Aces (Total)13
9Total Double Faults14
1:55:1Average Match Time1:55:1
51% (136/265)1st Serve %54% (157/290)
78% (106/136)1st Serve Win %61% (96/157)
57% (73/129)2nd Serve Win %46% (61/133)
50% (18/36)Break Pts Won %43% (6/14)
46% (133/290)Return Points Win %32% (86/265)
100% (3/3)Best‑of‑3 Win %0% (0/3)
100% (1/1)Best‑of‑5 Win %0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)Deciding Set Win %0% (0/1)
100% (3/3)1st Set Won, Won Match0% (0/1)
0% (0/3)1st Set Won, Lost Match100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/3)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Minaur 57%, Baena 47%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Minaur 54%, Baena 53%.
Break Points Saved %: Minaur 63%, Baena 61%.

A. D. Minaur Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardErste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025

SF

ITAJ. Sinner
L
6-3 6-4

QF

ITAM. Berrettini
W
6-1 7-6(4)

R2

AUTF. Misolic
W
6-4 6-4

R1

AUTJ. Rodionov
W
6-4 6-1
HardShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai - 29-09-2025

QF

RUSD. Medvedev
L
6-4 6-4

R. C. Baena Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardOlbia Challenger - 13-10-2025

R1

BIHN. Fatic
L
6-2 7-5
ClayBraga Challenger - 29-09-2025

R2

INDS. Nagal
L
5-7 4-1 ret.

R1

PORT. Torres
W
6-1 6-3
ClayLisbon Challenger - 22-09-2025

R2

ESPP. Llamas
L
6-4 3-0 ret.

R1

BRAT. Seyboth
W
6-3 6-2
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A. D. Minaur vs R. C. Baena Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
64.71% (418/228)YTD Win/Loss58.29% (594/425)
61.07% (993/633)Sets Win/Loss56.14% (1358/1061)
53.96% (8294/7077)Games Win/Loss52.74% (11934/10694)
67.45% (201/97)Hard Win/Loss38.98% (46/72)
57.25% (75/56)Clay Win/Loss62.20% (515/313)
63.77% (88/50)Indoor Hard W/L53.06% (26/23)
68.35% (54/25)Grass Win/Loss29.17% (7/17)
0.3Aces Per Game0.17
2225Aces Total1880
0.21Double Faults Per Game0.19
1597Total Double Faults2068
1:45:2Average Match Time1:26:42
279.68Average Opponent Rank486.26
58% (26993/46202)1st Serve %63% (36502/57755)
71% (19061/27010)1st Serve Win %67% (24357/36502)
54% (10317/19224)2nd Serve Win %50% (10727/21249)
43% (2032/4746)Break Points Won % (Total)44% (2651/6035)
40% (19268/47807)Return Points Win %41% (23707/58005)
64.58% (62/34)Slam W/L36.07% (22/39)
54.92% (67/55)Masters W/L40.58% (28/41)
61.54% (24/15)Cups W/L100.00% (1/0)
67.52% (158/76)Main Tour W/L50.39% (129/127)
0.00% (0/3)Tour Finals W/L0% (0/0)
66.67% (52/26)Challenger W/L61.70% (261/162)
74.32% (55/19)Futures W/L73.56% (153/55)
64% (340/530)Best of 3 Sets Win %59% (559/946)
66% (72/109)Best of 5 Sets Win %37% (19/52)
56% (129/230)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)48% (142/294)
58% (107/184)Deciding Set Win %52% (171/329)
88% (397/349)1st Set Won, Won Match83% (602/500)
12% (397/48)1st Set Won, Lost Match17% (602/100)
28% (249/69)1st Set Lost, Won Match21% (416/89)

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Minaur (Rolex Paris Masters - Paris)
Fonseca vs MinaurCould play in The Third
Shapovalov vs MinaurCould play in The Third
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Khachanov vs MinaurCould play in The Third
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